Author: Verum

Earth and Venus share many similarities. Both are rocky planets of roughly similar size and likely Venus has an inner core and partially molten mantle. Cone-shaped mountains and solidified basalt flows show that there was also widespread volcanic activity on the planet’s surface at some point in the planet’s past.

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We are approaching one of the weakest time periods for bond prices in any year, the third week of March. Below we see the average daily performance of the ten-year note since 1982. The arrow points to the potential decline ahead. Price has fallen 82% of the time in that week. There is confirmation for this activity in the US 30-year bond, the JGB, and the bund. So there is confirmation from other fixed-income instruments along the yield curve and in foreign countries.

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Goldman Sachs’ stock (NYSE: GS) has lost approximately 6% YTD as compared to the 2% rise in the S&P500 index over the same period. Further, at its current price of $322 per share, it is trading 19% below its fair value of $396 – Trefis’ estimate for Goldman Sachs’ valuation. The investment bank posted lower-than-expected results in the fourth quarter of 2022, missing both revenues and earnings consensus estimates. The total revenues decreased 16% y-o-y to $10.59 billion, mainly driven by a 48% drop in investment banking and a 27% decline in asset & wealth management businesses. The investment banking was primarily down due to lower underwriting revenues – equity underwriting (-82%) and debt underwriting (-70%), driven by lower deal volumes. Similarly, asset & wealth management suffered due to a sharp decline in net income from equity investments and debt investments. That said, the platform solutions and FICC (fixed income, currency & commodity) trading revenues witnessed positive growth in the quarter. Overall, the adjusted net income was reduced by 69% y-o-y to $1.18 billion. This was partly because of negative growth in the top-line and partly due to higher expenses as a % of revenues.

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