If I can give you one piece of advice now, itâs this: Donât fear this talk of an AI bubble.
In fact, we should love it, because itâs set to hand us a shot at big dividends and gainsâespecially in closed-end funds (CEFs), which yield around 8% today and regularly hand us âdividend dealsâ that simply shouldnât exist.
Our job: Buy, then ride along as CEF investors, who tend to be slowpokes compared to stock buyers, finally come around and bid our fundsâ prices up. And we collect those rich dividendsâoften paid monthlyâwhile we wait.
One CEF is giving us just such a nonsensical discount today: a 7.7%-payer called the Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund (AIO).
This one holds many key AI players, including Meta Platforms (META), NVIDIA (NVDA), Oracle (ORCL) and Microsoft (MSFT), as well as some companies that stand to gain as they work AI into their daily operations, like JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Citigroup (C).
With most of these stocks skyrocketing, AIO should be pricey (âartificial intelligenceâ is right in the name, after all!). But itâs ridiculously cheap, trading at a 6.7% discount to net asset value (NAV, or the value of the AI stocks it owns).
And any selloff in AI stocks would make it even cheaper.
Which leads us back to the question on everyoneâs mind: Are we in an AI-driven bubble? Thatâs critical to a buy of AIO now, so letâs dive in. Weâll start with an often-overlooked measure of where peopleâs heads are: a chart of common Google searches, in this case for the term âstock market bubble.â
You can see at the right side of this chart that the term has been gaining since hitting a low in September 2024. Itâs now at its highest point in almost five years.
Why the bubble fears? Well, if youâve been investing for a long time, your experience likely includes the popping of two major bubbles: the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s and real estate in 2008. A couple generations were traumatized by those events, and as a result, weâre now in a kind of âbubbleâ of bubble talk.
But are we really in an AI bubble? Iâd say no. To start, letâs present the bubble case at its most dire: A Harvard academic recently suggested that, without AI investment, Americaâs GDP growth wouldâve been a meager 0.1% in the first half of 2025.
There are a lot of problems with this argument. For one, it ignores the fact that a lot of AI investment is imported from abroad (Bloomberg estimates that imports account for about half of all AI investment), and GDP only measures productivity inside a country.
Bloomberg estimates that Americaâs 1.6% growth in the first half of 2025 would probably be more like 1.1% without AI investment. So, to be sure, AI is contributing much, but not most, of the countryâs GDP growth, let alone all of it. Anyone trying to convince you otherwise is simply fear-mongering.
Donât take the baitâespecially when other indicators point to a stable economy:
This chart, for example, tells us that over the last year, Americans have been less delinquent on their credit cards than they were a year ago, and the overall percentage is pretty smallânow about 3.1%, much lower than it was in the 1990s and 2000s.
But letâs keep the focus on AI for a moment longer, because it sets up just how out of step that discount on our 7.7%-paying AI fund, AIO, really is.
This chart comes from a recent Yale study showing that the share of workers exposed to AI hasnât changed since the tech was released. âIf AI were automating jobs at scale, we would expect to see a smaller share of workers in some of the jobs that are most negatively impacted,â the authors wrote. Yet this chart shows no change at all.
In other words, AI isnât making Americans poorer. It isnât taking their jobs, and it isnât a bubble set to burst. That doesnât mean it wonât turn into any of those thingsâbut it is none of them now.
And that sets us up for a tempting trade.
If AI starts taking jobs or making Americans feel more uncertain, we should expect a stock pullback that would hit all sectors, including AI names like Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta and, of course, NVIDIA.
If AI doesnât take jobs because the tech doesnât wind up meeting expectations, AI investment will drop and, again, take down names like Google, Meta and NVIDIA.
Of course, everyone is watching these companiesâ stocks like hawks, eager to sell at any sign of trouble. And thatâs why, if we see a selloff driven by fear that any of the above-mentioned things will happen without data backing that up, theyâll be great buys.
A 7.7%-Payer Thatâs Cheap Nowâand Will Get Even Cheaper in a AI Stock Selloff
Thatâs where AIO comes back into the picture. Itâs a diversified play on AI that rewards investors with that healthy 7.7% dividend, which comes our way monthly.
Itâs also a fund we know well at my CEF Insider service: We bought it in September 2020âlong before AI was on investorsâ radarâand rode it to a nice 23% total return (including its 6.4% dividend at the time we bought) in the following three years.
And, as I mentioned before, AIO is cheap today. In fact, itâs cheaper than it was during the April âtariff terror, â if you can believe it. Thatâs a setup that makes no sense at all! Yet here it is:
We saw last springâs deep discount flip to a premium by June. Now that premium has disappeared again, and AIO is back in bargain-bin territory.
That doesnât mean itâs worth buying nowâbut it does mean AIO is more sensitive to sentiment than the AI stocks it invests in. If investors sell off AI stocks, theyâll sell off AIO aggressively, opening up an even bigger discount and boosting its yield (since prices move in opposition to yields). That will be the time to pounce.
Meantime, weâll keep watching AIO and waiting for that bigger dividend, and discount, to materialize, thanks to the crowdâs overwrought bubble fears.
Michael Foster is the Lead Research Analyst for Contrarian Outlook. For more great income ideas, click here for our latest report âIndestructible Income: 5 Bargain Funds with Steady 10% Dividends.â
Disclosure: none

