The UFC returns to London, England, for the first time since July 2023 for this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card, which takes place on Saturday, March 22, at 02 Arena. In the main event, former UFC welterweight champion Leon Edwards makes his first trip to the Octagon since losing his title to Belal Muhammad in July 2024. Edwards faces the rising Sean Brady, who has picked up two wins since getting his first taste of defeat in 2022, when Muhammad knocked him out in Round 2. In the UFC London 2025 co-main event, former UFC light heavyweight champion Jan Blachowicz faces the charging Carlos Ulberg. Below, we look at the odds, picks and predictions of the UFC London clash between Blachowicz and Ulberg.
UFC London: Jan Blachowicz Vs. Carlos Ulberg
Blachowicz (29-10-1) has been with the UFC since October 2014. Since that time, the 41-year-old has compiled a 12-7-1 UFC record. Blachowicz won the vacant UFC light heavyweight title in September 2020 with a TKO victory over Dominick Reyes.
The Polish competitor defended his crown in March 2021 with a unanimous decision win over then-UFC middleweight titleholder Israel Adesanya. The loss was the first setback of Adesanya’s career.
Glover Teixeira took the title from Blachowicz in October 2021, winning the UFC 267 contest via second-round submission.
Blachowicz has a 1-1-1 record since that defeat. In May 2022 he earned a TKO win over Aleksander Rakic. The ex-champ followed that by fighting Magomed Ankalaev to a draw in December 2022. In his most recent outing, Blachowicz lost a split-decision to Alex Pereira. That contest took place in July 2023.
Blachowicz was scheduled to face Rakic in a rematch in January, but that fight fell through because of an injury to Blachowicz’s shoulder that required surgery.
Blachowicz is the No. 3 fighter in the official UFC light heavyweight rankings.
Ulberg (11-1) made his UFC debut in March 2021 after winning a contract on a Dana White’s Contender Series card. Ulberg’s knockout win on the DWCS moved his record to 5-0. At the time Ulberg was known mostly as a member of the City Kickboxing team out of Auckland, New Zealand. Today, he is Carlos Ulberg, the N0. 6 ranked fighter in the UFC’s light heavyweight division.
Ulberg’s official UFC run began at UFC 259 with a loss. Kennedy Nzechukwu knocked out Ulberg in a Fight of the Night bonus-winning scrap on that night in March 2021.
Since that defeat, Ulberg has gone 7-0 with five stoppage victories. The 34-year-old is coming off a November 2024 decision win over former UFC light heavyweight title challenger Volkan Oezdemir.
UFC London: Jan Blachowicz Vs. Carlos Ulberg Betting Odds
The opening odds for the UFC London scrap between Blachowicz saw the former champion open as a +170 betting underdog, while Ulberg came in as the -200 betting favorite.
Today, Blachowicz is a +253 underdog to Ulberg, who is -303.
*Odds via BetOnline
UFC London Co-Main Event: Blachowicz Vs. Ulberg – Tale Of The Tape
Jan Blachowicz
Record: 29-10-1 with nine submissions and nine knockouts
Age: 42
Height: 6’2″
Reach: 78″
Stance: Orthodox
Carolos Ulberg
Record: 11-1 with one submissions and seven knockouts
Age: 34
Height: 6’4″
Reach: 77″
Stance: Orthodox
UFC London Co-Main Event: Blachowicz Vs. Ulberg Fighter Stats
Jan Blachowicz
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.41
Significant Striking Accuracy: 50 percent
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute: 2.91
Striking Defense: 53 percent
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes: 1.09
Takedown Accuracy: 50 percent
Takedown Defense: 68 percent
Carlos Ulberg
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 7.20
Significant Striking Accuracy: 56 percent
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute: 4.27
Striking Defense: 50 percent
Takedowns Per 15 Minutes: 0.72
Takedown Accuracy: 75 percent
Takedown defense: 83 percent
*Via UFCStats
UFC London Co-Main Event: Blachowicz Vs. Ulberg Predictions And Picks
Jan Blachowicz is a former UFC champ, and that carries some weight, but he is 42 years old and 1-2-1 in his past four fights, with that win coming via injury TKO. His last “real” victory came against Israel Adesanya when the then-UFC middleweight champ moved up to 205 pounds to pursue UFC light heavyweight gold. Had this fight occurred during Blachowicz’s run between 2019 and 2021, the pick would be easy. Seeing as it is 2025, the betting pick is more difficult.
Ulberg is younger, throws more, lands more, and has incredible power and speed. The timing is right for Ulberg in this fight. However, one most look at Ulberg’s most recent win over Volkan Oezdemir, where Ulberg looked more hittable than he had in his first seven UFC bouts.
The betting pick is for Ulberg to win via decision, but there could be value in betting Blachowicz to win if the odds keep moving.
UFC London Co-Main Event: Blachowicz On Ulberg Fight
“I will make everything to change this on Saturday. After my win against Ulberg, I’m going to change this and I believe after I beat Carlos and I’m going to be next contender for the title,” Blachowicz told MMA Junkie.
“We do a great job with my team,” Blachowicz added “Every fighter and every fight is a little bit different, so I have to be ready for a completely different fighter than Adesanya. But I think we’ve got a plan for him and it’s going to be a good plan. We’ve got plan, but I also know how to feel the moment and go in there and fight.
“I believe in that, I will do everything I can to knock him out.”
UFC London 2025 Fight Card
UFC London 2025 Main Card
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Brady
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Holland
Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris Duncan
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charrière
UFC London 2025 Preliminary Card
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
Lone’er Kavanagh vs. Felipe dos Santos
Marcin Tybura vs. Mick Parkin
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey Pulyaev
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomar
Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán Loughran
Guram Kutateladze vs. Kauê Fernandes
UFC London Full Fight Card Betting Odds: Edwards Vs. Brady
UFC London takes place on March 22 at 02 Arena in London, England. The main card begins at 4:00 p.m. ET, while the prelims start at 1:00 ET. The entire event will stream on ESPN+. We will have more on the Blachowicz vs. Ulberg fight as well as more picks, and predictions for UFC London 2025 as fight night nears.
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