Topline
Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska criticized Moscow officials on Thursday for pushing away foreign investors and warned that Russia stands to run out of cash as soon as next year without additional fundsâsounding an alarm on the country’s business climate as the war on Ukraine exhausts spending and raises questions about how long Russia can operate on a deficit.
Key Facts
Speaking at the Krasnoyarsk Economic Forum in Siberia, Deripaska, 55, said he’s “very worried all the time that the state and business are constantly being set against each other,” and posited a de-escalation in Russia’s war on Ukraine won’t happen before 2025âpotentially keeping Western investors away from Russia for another decade.
âThere will be no money already next year… That’s why they’ve already begun to shake us down,” continued Deripaska, an aluminum tycoon who founded Russian industrial group Basic Element, adding that the nation “needs” foreign investors to continue operating.
The eyebrow-raising criticism from an oligarch who’s been sanctioned for ties to the Kremlin comes just weeks after Putin vowed there would be no reduction in military expenditures, telling officials Russia has “no limitations” on spending for the war in Ukraine and is “giving everything that the army asks for” in order to help secure victory.
âRussia should keep developing the market economy,â Deripaska said Thursday, warning of the “serious” consequences of ongoing sanctions against Russia and cautioning, “State capitalism is not an option.”
Key Background
The economic fallout quickly piled on after Putin ordered an invasion of Ukraine last February and has intensified amid a growing list of sanctions targeting vast swaths of the Russian economyâincluding the tech, defense and energy industries, financial institutions and the nationâs wealthiest people. Russia’s military spending was expected to total about 3.5 trillion rubles last yearâbut reportedly eclipsed that level by September. With a growing list of countries banning Russian investments, economists project the country’s deficit could soar more than 55% to 4.5 trillion rubles ($59.7 billion), but questionable data from the country and uncertainty around oil prices (Russia’s biggest export) make it difficult to know how long Russia can continue to run on a deficit.
Forbes Valuation
Deripaska is worth about $2.9 billion, according to Forbes estimates. He was the richest person in Russia and the 9th richest in the world in 2008 but then saw his fortune plunge amid crashing markets and heavy debts.